
						
DNA, DNA Tests & DNA Results Analysis
We are certainly not even close to being DNA experts, nor do we want to be, any more than we want to be experts on other research tools that we utilize, such as computers, ball point pens, cell phones, the internet, etc. However, they are the tools of our hobby and we need to understand their use and their usefulness. Also, it is nearly impossible to discuss DNA testing products without discussing our estimation of the testing companies and their policies. Our viewpoint is certainly influenced from being rather serious amateur family historians. We are not the most serious but, we are not GEDCOM copiers and splicers. Our goal is to document our research with serious primary and secondary evidence. We place very little or no reliance in the vast majority of undocumented or pseudo-documented lineages, especially those that predate 1850. We only rarely rely on information from such lineages and when we do we try our best to find primary/secondary evidence that supports this information. We also feel it is virtually useless to ask the creators of such lineages about their evidence, since the vast majority of such lineages have been copied and the creators have little or no knowledge concerning the quality of the copied information. In addition, most of these creators lose interest shortly after uploading their copied GEDCOMs.
						
						             
						It has been our 
						experience that many of the people that use, or would like to 
						use, DNA testing as a tool to increase their family 
						history knowledge do not understand DNA science or 
						the various DNA products. Perhaps many would like to 
						understand the details of the DNA, DNA tests, DNA test 
						results and DNA test results analysis, but there is also 
						a very large number 
						who just want to 
						receive very easily understandable and useful information relative to their family 
						history research goals without thinking a lot about the 
						process. DNA is a relatively new branch 
						of science and the details and mechanics of DNA as 
						applied to genealogy are not especially easy for many to 
						understand. To complicate this understanding process, 
						the science of DNA is expanding at a very rapid rate and 
						the terminology and jargon are almost constantly 
						changing. For instance, "chromosome" is used rather 
						loosely, especially by the non-scientific community.
						
						This is not much of a problem for geneticists, 
						scientists, etc., but it is for many amateur family 
						historians. In addition, new genealogy related DNA 
						products are being introduced by companies that have a 
						primary goal of making money and the competition between 
						these companies is intense. All of the testing companies 
						emphasize the cousin detecting capability of autosomal 
						DNA (atDNA) testing. This is not an exaggerated claim, 
						since many participants are informed of hundreds, or 
						even thousands, of relation matches. However, what the 
						testing companies virtually ignore in their advertising is the value to this 
						information to the participant. So as not to 
						jeopardize the sales of their products, all of the companies  
						omit or minimize any discussion of the luck, skill, time and 
						patience that is almost always required in the atDNA test results analysis process. 
						Some minimize or ignore the need for atDNA 
						analysis tools. Virtually all ignore or have ignored the 
						role that quality traditional research and associated ancestral 
						GEDCOMs/surnames play in the analysis of atDNA results. 
						Their advertising hyperbole makes their 
						products seem rather like magic. It has been our experience that many people purchase DNA 
						testing products based on impulse, price and the "magic" 
						perception created by the testing companies advertising. Most of the purchasers 
						do not do any homework or research on the products or 
						the atDNA analysis process. 
						Advertising techniques 
						and customer wishful thinking serve to 
						set expectations unrealistically high and, as a 
						consequence, many of these customers are completely 
						disappointed with the amount of useful information that 
						they can glean from their atDNA testing results and analysis. 
			
						Very unfortunately, they may also become completely 
						disillusioned with the usefulness of all DNA testing 
						products.
            
            There are 
						quite a few blogs, forums, etc. devoted to DNA testing and analysis in 
						general and atDNA testing and analysis in 
						particular. The authors of most of the blogs are the 
						crème de la crème of DNA testing, analysis, 
						techniques and tools. Almost all seem to have been excellent 
						traditional family researchers in the past. Most have several/many family 
						members who have also participated in various DNA tests, 
						especially atDNA tests. Most have proven many/most of their 
						ancestors (not just their direct line) back at least five generations. 
						Some 
						have a atDNA analysis "success story" to tell. 
						To our knowledge, these "gurus" are not funded by any of 
						the DNA testing companies, but many are well acquainted 
						with the sales and marketing representatives of these 
						companies and they attend the various trade events 
						together. These company representatives provide the 
						gurus with little tidbits concerning new products and 
						features. Many of the gurus are used as "beta" testers 
						for new products and features. This situation is a 
						normal consequence of virtually all large business 
						endeavors and, for the most part, the gurus provide 
						valuable insight into DNA testing, analysis, techniques 
						and tools; however, these gurus only represent a 
						exceedingly small segment of the genetic genealogy 
						community. Some have monetized their hobby by using 
						their blogs to offer fee based "consulting" services for 
						"complex" situations. However, the vast majority of the amateur 
						genetic genealogy community does not have the skills, 
						focus, time and 
						patience that these "gurus" seem to possess. 
						Nor do they have the financial wherewithal to fund the 
						testing of multiple relatives. Neither have they created 
						the extensive well researched multi-progenitor lineages 
						that most gurus possess. Moreover, 
						many in the general community cannot understand  (or chose 
						to ignore) the most basic requirements of successful 
						atDNA results analysis. As with the testing 
						companies, it is in the gurus best interest to minimize 
						or ignore the luck, skill, focus, time and patience that the 
						average, or even the above average, family historian needs to derive 
						meaningful genealogical information from atDNA testing 
						and analysis. Some of the open atDNA forums can be quite 
						instructive, but many of the discussions are focused on 
						arcane atDNA analysis techniques that only a handful of family 
						history researchers will ever use. Other forums are 
						focused on the management of the enormous 
						amount of information (i.e. matches, names, emails, 
						segments, correspondence, etc.) associated with the 
						results of atDNA testing. Worse yet, several 
						forums are dominated by math "experts" that seem to have 
						little or no interest in family history research. Their 
						deeply technical discussions/rants have absolutely no 
						value at all to the overwhelming majority of the 
						geneatic research community.
            However, as 
						time passes and vast quantities of DNA and traditional 
						genealogical information is accumulated, stored in 
						databases and used as input to sophisticated  
						analysis programs, we foresee a time 
						in the relatively near future when DNA results analysis 
						will be completely integrated with traditional 
						genealogical research records and the analysis output will be driven by little leaves or their equivalent. 
						However, the process will still involve the integration 
						of very high quality data (DNA results) with extremely 
						variable quality traditional research data (lineages, 
						GEDCOMs, etc.). That is, the process will be a little 
						like copying GEDCOMs and the quality of the process 
						output will also be similar to copied GEDCOMs. Since the 
						process output quality will always depend very heavily 
						on the quality of the traditional research input, the 
						quality of the process output will be exceedingly 
						variable. Simply put: Garbage in, garbage out.    
						
						  
Simplified DNA 
						           
						Our 
						bodies are made up of millions of cells and each cell 
						contains all the genes that form a complete copy of our 
						genetic plan. At least 99.9% of human DNA is common to 
						all humans: The remaining .1% is what makes us 
						different. A very small portion of this .1% is used for 
						genealogical testing. Most of the genes are packaged in 
						chromosomes in the nucleus of every cell. Both the genes 
						and chromosomes are made of a chemical called 
						Deoxyribonucleic acid or DNA. This chromosomal DNA is 
						composed of 22 pairs of autosomal chromosomes and one 
						pair of sex chromosomes, the X chromosome and the Y 
						chromosome. Females have two X chromosomes, males have a 
						X and a Y chromosome. For each pair of chromosomes, one 
						comes from our father and one comes from our mother. In 
						addition to chromosomal DNA, DNA also resides outside 
						the nucleus in small compartments called mitochondria. 
						 
						   DNA 
Tests & Results Analysis Process 
						            yDNA - This is male Y-chromosome DNA which is passed with few changes 
						from father to sons forever. Because, 
						in almost all cultures and societies, the father's surname is also 
						passed on to the son, yDNA is the basis for almost 
						all surname DNA projects. Since there are many existing 
						yDNA Surname Projects, your results will most likely 
						match one of the one or more of the project participants 
						with your surname. In general, if two or more 
						participants have matching yDNA, these participants are 
						termed a "group" in the project. However, there are several reasons 
						that you might not match an existing project participant 
						or group. These reasons and other yDNA 
						particulars are 
						discussed on this page. In our experience, these 
						anomalies occur for about 10 to 15 percent of the 
						participants. From a genealogical perspective, the good 
						news is that even if your yDNA does not match anyone 
						with your surname, it most likely will be an obvious 
						match with participants in a different surname project. 
						In any case, valuable genealogical information is nearly 
						always obtained from the results of yDNA testing. Most 
						of the yDNA testing companies offer tools to compare 
						your yDNA results to the results of the other 
						participants in their database. 
						           However, the most glaring problem of atDNA analysis is 
						not even understood by many, or even most, testing 
						participants. Incredibly, this lack of understanding 
						seems to persist even after the participant has received 
						his or her atDNA test results and has found absolutely 
						nothing useful. The problem lies in the sever deficiency 
						of well researched and complete ancestral 
						lineages, GEDCOMs and surname lists that should accompany all atDNA 
						accounts, submissions and/or postings. This is a minimum 
						requirement. If this is not done, failure is almost 
						surely assured. Even better, a well 
						researched and complete multi-progenitor 
						QUALITY lineage is considered 
						highly desirable, even if it is only partially 
						populated. Quality lineages 
						have not been copied from other unverifiable lineages 
						found on the web or in print, but if parts of the lineage 
						have been copied, the copier should make a very substantial 
						effort to verify the lineage. This effort will probably 
						be difficult, time consuming and frustrating, but that 
						research is part of what it takes to produce a
						Quality lineage. Generally, 
						such lineages are very rare, but they are just as 
						important as accurate atDNA testing and match 
						predictions. Remember 
						that atDNA results may include matches with any/several 
						of your 
						common ancestors, both male and female. The magnitude of 
						this problem cannot be overstated although it is 
						manifested in quite different ways among all the major 
						testing company databases. In the past, most companies 
						have not stressed the importance of Quality traditional 
						research in the atDNA test analysis process. After all, 
						the testing companies do not want to detract from the 
						magic image of the test and neither do 
						most of the online atDNA gurus. Some companies have not 
						stressed the importance of including Quality ancestral 
						GEDCOMs and/or surname lists as part of an account that 
						includes atDNA test results. This has resulted in an 
						enormous number of atDNA results matches that are 
						virtually worthless to the submitters and the folks that 
						have an atDNA match with the submitter. At one company, 
						large numbers of atDNA matches will be with people who 
						have not submitted an ancestral GEDCOM or surname list. 
						At another company, large numbers of atDNA matches will 
						be with people who do not understand or care about the 
						meaning of Quality research: These folks are the GEDCOM 
						copiers/splicers/dicers and the company makes it 
						extremely easy to perform these operations. At yet another company, large 
						numbers of atDNA matches will be with people who have 
						absolutely no 
						interest in genealogy at all. An atDNA match with any of 
						these people will be virtually worthless and this is a 
						very likely outcome in analyzing the matches discovered in any 
						atDNA 
						database. This problem is so daunting that many 
						people resort to mass email messages to all matches without 
						regard to the matches potential. Since these are mass 
						mailings, the connection information must be quite 
						generic, such as, "I notice that both of us have a Woody 
						in our surname lists. What do you know about the Woodys?" 
						These fishing expeditions are not requests for joint 
						research, but are very thinly veiled research requests 
						directed at the email receiver. Somehow, these missives 
						quickly find their way to our junk mail folder.                 
						Please use your "Back" button to return to the previous 
						page. 
						 
            When considering ordering a 
						yDNA test, it is very important to know 
						that yDNA "marker" suites/groupings have not been 
						standardized or agreed on by the various DNA testing 
						companies. That is, different companies test for 
						different markers. In yDNA analysis, the more comparable markers, 
						the better; however, incomparable markers are completely 
						useless, no matter how many of them are tested. Our 
						project accepts yDNA results from any testing company, 
						but before you order testing, check the number of 
						comparable markers that you are paying for.
						
						            mtDNA - This is 
						
						Mitochondrial DNA 
						which is passed virtually unchanged from mother to 
						daughter forever; however, because the 
						female surname changes almost every generation, the 
						female lineages are very difficult to trace and the few mtDNA projects 
						that exist are mainly based on geography. However, mtDNA is extremely stable with 
						almost no mutations and, for this reason, it is considered 
						the most reliable anthropological DNA test. mtDNA is also 
						passed from mother to son, but the son does not pass 
						this mtDNA to his son or daughter. That is, a son has 
						his mother's mtDNA. Do not confuse the mtDNA with X-chromosome 
						DNA (xDNA). 
						
           
						xDNA - This is X-chromosome 
						DNA that is passed from mother to daughter and son and 
						also from father to daughter, thus a female receives one 
						recombined X-chromosome from her mother and one 
						X-chromosome from her paternal grandmother, via her 
						father. This transference pattern produces 
						a rather unusual XDNA inheritance trail. In any generation, 
						the male's paternal ancestors are eliminated as xDNA 
						contributors 
						since the male can only receive his xDNA from his 
						mother. 
						Some of the companies that test and report atDNA raw 
						data also 
						test and report xDNA raw data. GEDmatch can use uploaded 
						xDNA raw data to search for matches. Because of the unusual xDNA transmission characteristics, these matches can be 
						used effectively as an eliminator of possible ancestor 
						DNA trails. Do not confuse X-chromosome DNA (xDNA) with mtDNA.
						
						
						           
						atDNA -  
						To begin with, 
						we 
						are only slightly interested in the medical, 
						anthropological, admixture, etc. prediction aspects of 
						atDNA testing, so these characteristics do not weigh 
						heavily in our following discussions.
						Secondly, we cannot over emphasize the difficulty 
						usually involved in determining any meaningful 
						family history information from the analysis of atDNA 
						results.
						By meaningful, we mean the discovery and/or 
						confirmation of new or suspected/unproven ancestors. 
						Obviously, the laws of probability dictate that a very 
						few people will find meaningful information with ease, 
						but this will not be the case for the vast majority of 
						atDNA participants.
						If you find the following discussion tedious, 
						tiresome and boring, you will most likely feel the same 
						about the atDNA results analysis process itself. This should be a wake-up call 
						for you. 
           
						 
						atDNA tests are suitable for males and 
						females because humans have 22 pairs of atDNA 
						chromosomes and we inherit atDNA chromosomes from both 
						of our parents. One chromosome from each pair comes from 
						our mother and the other is from our father. So each of our 
						parents carry 22 pairs of autosomal chromosomes 
						(atDNA): On average, one half of each pair came from their father, 
						the other half from their mother. That is, our mother 
						carries one copy from her own mother and one copy from 
						her own father. Likewise, our father carries one copy 
						from his own mother and one copy from his own father so, 
						on average, every person gets about half of their atDNA from each of his or her parents. 
						Since our parents each carry 22 pairs of chromosomes, 44 
						chromosomes are involved in a transfer in which we end 
						up with 22 pairs. So, on average, 50% of each parents 
						atDNA is lost in the transfer through the processes of 
						random combination and recombination of the chromosomes. 
						This is why siblings will probably have the same atDNA, 
						but in different amounts. The most significant point is 
						that atDNA dilution occurs 
						rapidly from one generation to the next and the detection 
						of matches get more difficult as 
						relational connections grow more distant. atDNA does not include mtDNA, 
						xDNA or yDNA chromosomes; 
						however, some testing companies are rumored to include the results of 
						X-chromosome (xDNA) tests in their relationship 
						matching predictions. As discussed, on average, every child receives 
						about 50% their atDNA from each parent; however, this figure 
						can be very deceiving since the transfer of individual 
						atDNA segments can vary from 0% to 100% and this 
						transfer characteristic is completely random. Even rather 
						large segments can be completely lost from one 
						generation to the next. Matching 
						individuals segments is what atDNA analysis is all 
						about, so this unpredictable atDNA transference 
						characteristic creates rather odd situations. If any 
						generation suffers a 0% segment transference event, this 
						atDNA information is lost forever. On the other hand, 
						when one or more generations have very high segment 
						transference rates, these segments are extremely useful 
						in atDNA results analysis. So the cousin detection 
						rate/capability of any atDNA result is heavily based on 
						the random probability of atDNA segment transfer. Most testing 
						companies estimate that, on average, atDNA testing has a 
						90% chance of detecting a match with a third cousin and 
						about a 50% chance of detecting a match with a fourth 
						cousin. Again, these are average percentages and, as 
						discussed, they can and do vary quite dramatically in 
						either direction. 
            On the surface, 
						this detection capability seems like a great tool; 
						however, most people, if they think about it at all, 
						vastly overestimate the chance 
						of identifying their matching relative connection and/or 
						deriving any useful family history information at all from atDNA 
						results. This is because they are accustomed to researching 
						their paternal direct line and to the utter simplicity of yDNA 
						test results analysis. Most family historians research 
						their direct male line from themselves back to the 
						oldest ancestor (progenitor) that they can discover. 
						After this discovery, some research the other male 
						descendants of the progenitor. Most virtually ignore the 
						female descendants 
						of the progenitor because many researchers consider this 
						research to be the job of the researcher of the husband 
						of the female. Most virtually ignore the ancestors 
						of the spouses of the progenitor's descendants. Most do 
						not completely research their maternal line because of 
						the difficulty associated with the generational name 
						changes of the females. However, we carry 
						the detectable atD NA of many of our 
						ascestors, 
						as do the thousands of their other descendants (our 
						cousins). The excellent diagram on the right was created by Angela 
						J. Cone to 
						illustrate the dilution characteristic of atDNA; 
						however, it is also useful in illustrating the the array 
						of ancestors that contribute atDNA to you and your 
						matches. Your direct surname line might be the mostly blue trail 
						at the far left; however, it is apparent that the direct 
						branch contains only a small percentage of the entire 
						array of your potential atDNA matches. Also note that the array 
						contains all of your female ancestors, paternal and 
						maternal, so many of your atDNA matches will led to connections with common 
						female ancestors. One regrettable aspect of many 
						otherwise well researched lineages is that females 
						ancestors and their descendants are virtually 
						ignored. If you or your match/relative have not researched your female ancestors, the 
						match will be virtually useless unless significant 
						additional traditional research is done. Next, remember that each 
						generation of the array is apt to have multiple children 
						and, in general, this leads to thousands of descendants of the 
						progenitor and thousands of similar diagrams, each 
						depicting a slightly different lineage. So, when the testing 
						company reports that you have an atDNA match, you know you have a common ancestor; 
						however, the 
						question is this: Where in the multiple arrays does this common 
						ancestor reside? Because your atDNA match could be with 
						any of these thousands of descendants, you really need 
						more than an ancestral GEDCOM and/or a list of surnames.
						What you really 
						need is a descendant chart that includes all of your thirty-two 3rd great 
						grandparents and their descendants or, better yet, one for all of your sixty-four 4th 
						great grandparents and their descendants but, if you had such a chart, you 
						probably would not need to do atDNA analysis. Most family lineages do not contain 
						the names of even a tenth of the total atDNA carrying 
						descendants. So, even if you and your match each have 
						recorded a tenth 
						(probably wildly optimistic) of your ancestors, that leaves 
						ninety percent 
						unknown. Therefore, even if the lineages of two matching 
						atDNA participants are compared, you and your match will 
						need 
						considerable luck to identify your relationship and your 
						common ancestor. It is 
						much more 
						than likely that you both will be unlucky and it may 
						extremely 
						difficult or impossible to ascertain how you are 
						connected. To aid in the atDNA results analysis process, 
						it is very useful to have parents or grandparents 
						tested; however, since this is impossible for many 
						people, it is also helpful to have children and close 
						cousins tested. Obviously, this added analysis testing is beyond the financial 
						capability of many people.
NA of many of our 
						ascestors, 
						as do the thousands of their other descendants (our 
						cousins). The excellent diagram on the right was created by Angela 
						J. Cone to 
						illustrate the dilution characteristic of atDNA; 
						however, it is also useful in illustrating the the array 
						of ancestors that contribute atDNA to you and your 
						matches. Your direct surname line might be the mostly blue trail 
						at the far left; however, it is apparent that the direct 
						branch contains only a small percentage of the entire 
						array of your potential atDNA matches. Also note that the array 
						contains all of your female ancestors, paternal and 
						maternal, so many of your atDNA matches will led to connections with common 
						female ancestors. One regrettable aspect of many 
						otherwise well researched lineages is that females 
						ancestors and their descendants are virtually 
						ignored. If you or your match/relative have not researched your female ancestors, the 
						match will be virtually useless unless significant 
						additional traditional research is done. Next, remember that each 
						generation of the array is apt to have multiple children 
						and, in general, this leads to thousands of descendants of the 
						progenitor and thousands of similar diagrams, each 
						depicting a slightly different lineage. So, when the testing 
						company reports that you have an atDNA match, you know you have a common ancestor; 
						however, the 
						question is this: Where in the multiple arrays does this common 
						ancestor reside? Because your atDNA match could be with 
						any of these thousands of descendants, you really need 
						more than an ancestral GEDCOM and/or a list of surnames.
						What you really 
						need is a descendant chart that includes all of your thirty-two 3rd great 
						grandparents and their descendants or, better yet, one for all of your sixty-four 4th 
						great grandparents and their descendants but, if you had such a chart, you 
						probably would not need to do atDNA analysis. Most family lineages do not contain 
						the names of even a tenth of the total atDNA carrying 
						descendants. So, even if you and your match each have 
						recorded a tenth 
						(probably wildly optimistic) of your ancestors, that leaves 
						ninety percent 
						unknown. Therefore, even if the lineages of two matching 
						atDNA participants are compared, you and your match will 
						need 
						considerable luck to identify your relationship and your 
						common ancestor. It is 
						much more 
						than likely that you both will be unlucky and it may 
						extremely 
						difficult or impossible to ascertain how you are 
						connected. To aid in the atDNA results analysis process, 
						it is very useful to have parents or grandparents 
						tested; however, since this is impossible for many 
						people, it is also helpful to have children and close 
						cousins tested. Obviously, this added analysis testing is beyond the financial 
						capability of many people.
           
						So, the statistics of the situation make the odds of 
						exactly identifying your atDNA match connection quite unlikely, but 
						there is much more to this story. To have any chance at 
						all of success, you will almost always need to 
						understand the three step atDNA results analysis 
						process.
						
            First 
						- the testing 
						company compares your atDNA 
						results with the companies entire database of atDNA participants to find matches. 
						The testing company then evaluates the matches and 
						makes suggested relationship predictions (e.g. 
						uncle, 2nd cousin, 4th cousin, distant cousin) for you 
						and all the matches. These matches and relationship 
						predictions are then made available to you. This step 
						works very well; however, you should be aware that most 
						of your matches will be with 4th and more distant 
						cousins. It is 
						not unusual that some suggested matches will be 
						coincidental instead of relational. The more distant the 
						suggested relationship, the more likely the match will be 
						coincidental.  
						 
            Second - 
						YOU compare your 
						lineage, ancestral surname list or GEDCOM of your DNA providers to a 
						similar resource that your match/relative has hopefully provided. 
						These ancestral lineages, surnames 
						and GEDCOMs come from the quality research that you and your 
						match/relative have supposedly done. Hopefully, you will have 
						a complete name or surname in common which may be the link to 
						your relationship connection and your common ancestor. YOU 
						must decide which matches might prove fruitful and thus be follow-up 
						candidates. To make these decisions,
						YOU will probably need to 
						understand and utilize a chromosome browser, a 
						triangulation tool and other 
						analysis tools to compare 
						atDNA test results.
            Third 
						- 
						YOU attempt 
						to discover the connection with your match. If you 
						cannot identify the connection from the lineage, 
						GEDCOM and surnames provided by your match, you may attempt to contact your 
						identified match and work with that person to try and 
						identify your common ancestor. Hopefully, this person will 
						also be interested in the match and will have the skill, 
						time 
						and patience necessary to discover the connection with 
						you. Unfortunately, for many/most matches and for a variety 
						of reasons, this will not be the case, but if you and 
						your cooperating match are diligent, you may discover a 
						potential connection. Even though 
						many people assume that the matching atDNA and an 
						apparent common ancestor in a lineage, surname list or GEDCOM are proof of a particular relationship, 
						this is not the case at all. In reality, it 
						is entirely possible, or even likely, that you and your 
						match have several common ancestors and the 
						atDNA match could be with any one of them. This 
						possibility grows significantly more likely with more 
						distant relatives/connections. So, if one or both of the 
						lineages, GEDCOMs or surname lists that are being compared 
						have not been well researched or is incomplete, the matching atDNA may be from an common ancestor that is 
						unknown to one or both of the participants. 
						Unfortunately, at least one testing company reinforces 
						this misconception by "hinting" at a common ancestor 
						without openly explaining the possibility of other common 
						ancestors. This situation can and does lead to incorrect 
						lineages that have been mistakenly "proven" by atDNA. To 
						prove a connection, more conventional research and/or 
						atDNA analysis will likely be necessary. Skill and 
						patience with a chromosome browser and other analysis 
						tools are essential. Also, since multiple ancestral 
						connections are likely, well researched and complete 
						lineages for all progenitor branches are essential to 
						help prove a match. 
            
						
            Under optimal conditions, this 
						rather involved process can work well and a few 
						success stories are alleged, especially when the joint 
						research is not necessary or is relatively easy and quick. Almost all of the 
						success stories that we have seen come from avid 
						serious genealogists and DNA gurus with well researched family trees and with 
						several/many close relatives who have also taken atDNA, 
						yDNA and mtDNA tests. The DNA results from these 
						relatives are used to attempt correlation of atDNA 
						segments with particular ancestors. In general, this is 
						an expensive and time consuming process. These guru "case studies" are 
						extremely far from 
						typical and represent only a very tiny fraction of the 
						atDNA test participants. Moreover, most participants do 
						not have the resources to pay for multiple DNA tests. At the other end of the 
						testing participant universe are 
						those with little or no near-term family history (i.e. 
						orphans, etc.). For this small fraction of participants, atDNA 
						test 
						results and analysis will most likely provide a number of 
						matches/close relatives that may be very significant. However, 
						for the vast majority of participants, Steps Two and Three 
						described above have several significant failure mechanisms that 
						hinder success. As mention above, considerable luck is initially involved 
						because the process depends on matching your atDNA with the atDNA of another participant that 
						can help you in one way or another. If 
						the matching relative that you have identified as a 
						fruitful possibility is not interested in shared 
						research or does not have the required resources (i.e. 
						skill, time, focus, patience, quality lineage research), your 
						only recourse is to move on. If you are lucky 
						and a 
						high potential match is identified and recruited, 
						the research that follows will frequently require significant skill, time and patience on 
						your part and that of your newly identified match/relative. In 
						most cases, your success will depend on your expertise 
						with atDNA analysis tools. Some 
						of the testing companies provide analysis tools to 
						assist your research. These tools seem to be effective, 
						but also take 
						time and patience to understand and use. Many people 
						find these tools difficult and impossible to understand 
						and use. In our 
						experience, many people find the entire process to be very 
						tedious, time consuming and beyond their level of skill. 
						They become overwhelmed and their patience is soon 
						exhausted. Because of their complete lack of knowledge 
						concerning atDNA 
						result analysis, many people quickly give up in frustration, even though they may 
						have significant discoverable connections that might 
						advance their family history. The opposite 
						situation also occurs frequently. Some participants are 
						unable to discover any meaningful matches at all. This usually means that 
						few or none of their relatives have taken an 
						atDNA test or have included a lineage, GEDCOM or surname 
						list. This is also a frustrating 
						experience and the tests are soon forgotten even though 
						there is a very good chance of a future match. Unfortunately, 
						this lack of success with atDNA testing and analysis 
						usually produces a lasting distrust of all DNA testing products.            
						
          
            The 
						International Society of Genetic Genealogy (ISOGG) has published an online chart that 
						compares many of the  product 
						characteristics of the major DNA testing companies. This 
						informative chart is
						
						here; however, our experience has led us to believe 
						that the selection of a testing company is the least 
						important aspect of the total atDNA testing/analysis 
						process. This does not imply that you should ignore 
						the negative implications associated with a company that 
						does not publish an easily discoverable Customer Support 
						telephone number or email address. All of the testing 
						companies seem capable of determining your atDNA and 
						presenting you with this information (Step 1, above). 
						Next, you must implement Steps 2 and 3 described above. 
						This is where the rubber meets the road. The rather 
						recent availability of an independent source of atDNA 
						analysis tools has somewhat leveled the playing field 
						with respect to the technical aspects of DNA analysis. GEDmatch 
						has developed several free (donations accepted) tools 
						for analyzing atDNA results. GEDmatch accepts 
						uploaded raw atDNA and xDNA test data generated by 
						23andMe, FTDNA and Ancestry.com. Among the tools are an 
						atDNA chromosome browser, a chromosome segment 
						comparer, a phased data generator, a triangulation 
						comparer and a GEDCOM comparer. Other tools may be developed. These tools can be very effective when 
						utilized by people who have the skill and time to use 
						them. To use any of these tools, YOU must 
						download your raw data from your DNA testing company, then
						YOU must upload this raw data 
						to the GEDmatch site and wait for the data 
						to be processed. Next, YOU 
						must analyze the data and YOU 
						must then follow the identification and discovery 
						procedures described above in Steps 2 and 3 above. 
						Although the testing companies provide instructions for 
						downloading raw data, some people are challenged by this 
						requirement. The same comment applies for the uploading 
						procedure. Currently, the GEDmatch atDNA database is is 
						being populated by the customers of the major DNA 
						testing companies at a seemingly incredible rate; 
						however, we 
						think that many of the GEDmatch users are looking for 
						the magic that they did not find at their testing 
						company site. Although GEDmatch provides more analysis 
						tools than the DNA testing companies, none of these 
						tools are magical. In addition to understanding these 
						tools, analysis steps 2 and 3 (described above) are 
						still required, along with a large dose of luck, skill, 
						focus, persistence and  patience. Since individual 
						atDNA results files are enormous, GEDmatch requires 
						significant computation resources (computers & memory & 
						programmers). Presently, it is obvious that these 
						resources are being severely strained, if not 
						overwhelmed at times. However, if the 
						volunteer creators of GEDmatch can overcome their growth 
						difficulties, the GEDmatch atDNA results database 
						will hopefully provide a 
						resource similar to the existing Ysearch database for 
						yDNA results. Although the quality, availability and 
						sustainability aspects of the GEDmatch site have yet to be 
						proven over an extended period, this site could become a very important 
						resource for the 
						serious researcher possessing the abovementioned 
						research traits; however, for the average or even the 
						above average family 
						historian, the magic will still elude them.
						
            
						Our Bottom Line: atDNA results 
						analysis ain't easy and it surely ain't magic, but in spite of the 
						difficulties and problems, it is possible to find 
						meaningful ancestral connections. By meaningful, we mean 
						the discovery and/or confirmation of new or 
						suspected/unproven ancestors. It makes no difference to 
						us how many cousins we discover if none of these matches 
						lead us to meaningful ancestral connections and common 
						ancestors. We have achieved 
						a minor amount of meaningful and significant success; however, we have 
						over twenty-five years of traditional family history 
						research experience, over six years yDNA project 
						experience, large amounts of free time and four of the largest 
						progenitor based surname 
						databases in the world. Also, very importantly, we are still 
						willing and eager to understand new technology and learn 
						new research techniques. Since we are not 
						
						GEDCOM copiers and splicers, 
						we attribute most of our atDNA analysis success to our 
						hard earned research experience and a large dose of luck. Unfortunately, it seems 
						that the vast majority of atDNA participants achieve 
						little or no success at all. 
						Your success in expanding/extending your family 
						history with atDNA testing and results analysis will more likely depend on your luck, your skill, 
						your focus, your persistence and your patience, rather than on the testing 
						product that you purchase. 
						
						       
						
						Created Aug 8, 2013
						Current Revision Jan 9, 2015